Extraordinary Claims - Who Needs Evidence?
Most reasonable people understand what Carl Sagan meant by his expression: “Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.” If someone tells me that an everyday event occurred, I have little or no reason to doubt the truth of that claim. But if they tell me something occurred that rarely or never happens, it would be reasonable to doubt that claim unless they provide sufficient reason for me to believe it. What is sufficient reason? Obviously, it depends to some degree on the person who is being convinced. Is that person credulous or skeptical? Is there motivation to believe? Sagan's expression assumes a person who isn't credulous or motivated by other factors to believe the claim. Some people will believe anything. Some are motivated to believe for reasons other than sufficient evidence. In that case, they may try to deny the value of evidence in an effort to discredit skeptics. Such is the case with Dean Meadows, Christian apologist at Apologia Institute. Meadows presents three arguments against Sagan's epistemological rule of thumb.